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2024-12-13 23:06:38

CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.German police searched Adidas' office and conducted a tax investigation. As part of the tax investigation that lasted for several years, German police searched Adidas' German headquarters on December 10th. An Adidas spokesperson said that the search operation involved customs and tax clearance regulations for goods imported into Germany from 2019.The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1843 yuan.


Yesterday, a total of 48 stock ETFs increased by over 100 million shares, the Southern CSI 1000ETF increased by 1.366 billion shares, and the Huaxia CSI A500ETF increased by 1.35 billion shares.Sora concept stocks fell, Huayang Lianzhong fell, Easy Point World, Fushi Holdings fell more than 8%, and Wanxing Technology fell nearly 5%.In early trading, most of the main contracts of domestic futures fell. Palm oil fell more than 2%, alumina, Shanghai nickel, coking coal, glass, iron ore, soda ash and lithium carbonate fell more than 1%, and No.20 glue, methanol and stainless steel (SS) fell nearly 1%. In terms of increase, the Shanghai-Tianjin and Container Lines Europe rose by over 1%, while vegetable oil and fuel oil rose by nearly 1%.


IBM's new optical technology can greatly speed up the training of AI models. IBM announced the development of a new optical technology, which can train AI models at the speed of light and save energy greatly. The company said that by applying this breakthrough to the data center, the energy saved by training an AI model is equivalent to the energy consumption of 5,000 American families in one year.The Ministry of Finance issued 6 billion yuan RMB bonds in Hong Kong. Today (11th), the Ministry of Finance issued the sixth issue of RMB bonds in 2024 to professional investors in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, with a scale of 6 billion yuan. This year, the Ministry of Finance issued a total of 55 billion RMB bonds in Hong Kong to further improve the normal issuance mechanism of RMB bonds in Hong Kong.China's one-year interest rate swap hit a four-year low, and China's one-year interest rate swap (IRS) fell sharply this week, falling below the 1.50% mark for the first time since 2020. The data shows that the one-year interest rate swap was still around 1.50% at the beginning of Wednesday, and once fell to 1.4825% in the previous session, setting a new low since May 2020.

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